The polynya I saw forming in early February is still clear, and very large in the Southern Weddell Sea. At the moment it is more than than 80,000 km2, although there is clearly a lot of young sea ice covering a large part of the polynya.
In my original post I said this was likely formed by winds from the Ronne Ice Shelf.
Well Dr Stef Lhermitte (Delft) has put together the most amazing movie showing the development of the polynya over January and February. It shows satellite sea ice data with winds from the ECMWF overlain.
You can clearly see the winds pushing the sea ice away from the ice shelf as time progresses.
It is just as @StefLhermitte said in his tweet yesterday:
One really nice thing that I had seen but didn't mention as it didn't fit easily in the original post, and that is the grounded iceberg Stef highlights.
This is iceberg A23a, which is ~3,800 km2!
A23 was formed in August 1986 from the Filchner Ice Shelf Front, and at formation it had an area of ~3,850 km2, and was ~5-600 m thick (Grosfeld et al, 2001). So in 31 years it has only moved ~200 km mainly because it has been (and currently is) grounded (that is stuck on the sea floor). In that time it has lost ~50 km2 of its area.
A23a is about 75% the size the iceberg that will soon break from Larsen C, although I would be surprised if that coming iceberg will last as long as this one because it is so much further north and closer to the open ocean.
You can see very clearly in the Terra MODIS imagery from 5th March that A23a a fracture is developing across the iceberg.
It is undeniably vast and the broadcaster Matt Teller posted this over a year ago.
The Antarctic summer is ending now and although this year is clearly unusual in the satellite record, we should expect the polynya to freeze over as winter develops.
I would expect A32a to be around for many more years.